Germany: Scholz’s SPD catches up in the polls
Published: Thursday, Dec 5th 2024, 14:20
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The gap between the Christian Democrats and Social Democrats has narrowed significantly in Germany a good two months before the general election, according to a survey.
In a representative online survey conducted by opinion research institute YouGov, 30% of eligible voters said they would vote for opposition leader Friedrich Merz's CDU/CSU if the Bundestag elections were held next Sunday. That is three percentage points less than in November. Chancellor Olaf Scholz's SPD improved by three percentage points to 18%.
According to the survey, the right-wing populist AfD remains at 19%. The Greens landed at 13% - that is one percentage point more than in November. The left-wing conservative alliance Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) remains at 7%.
For the survey, YouGov interviewed 2,415 people from last Friday (November 29) up to and including Tuesday (December 3). In the process, 1,879 people also gave answers about their intention to vote.
Election polls are generally always fraught with uncertainty. Among other things, declining party loyalty and increasingly short-term election decisions make it difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In principle, polls only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not a forecast of the election outcome.
The new Bundestag election is scheduled for February 23. Scholz's "traffic light" coalition of SPD, FDP and Greens collapsed at the beginning of November.
©Keystone/SDA
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